On the Labour Leader, electoral mathematics, immigration and the EU — and the one thing that might take him to No 10.
“In the event that we do leave the EU, David Cameron must surely fall. He will be remembered in history as the Conservative Prime Minister who, after an undistinguished first term, sacrificed his second — and his nation’s stability — in the interest of a party unity he ultimately did not secure. He will likely also be the man responsible for the breakup of the United Kingdom, with Scotland seceding in favour of the EU — always assuming that the world’s largest trading bloc is not torn apart by internal strife in the aftermath of Cameron’s failed gambit. Just about the only thing of which the newly solitary UK will have a surplus is irony.
How, then, is it possible that the new-minted leader of the UK’s only meaningful opposition party does not look like the obvious winner of our next general election, whether that comes later this year or in 2020?“